Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.004709 0.005324 0.006023 0.006885 0.007930 0.009169 0.010770
2025-12-21 0.003957 0.004757 0.005753 0.007111 0.008962 0.011473 0.015280
2025-12-28 0.003569 0.004476 0.005679 0.007447 0.010090 0.014100 0.021125
2026-01-04 0.003228 0.004175 0.005491 0.007541 0.010841 0.016346 0.027346
2026-01-11 0.002927 0.003876 0.005244 0.007474 0.011289 0.018199 0.033788
2026-01-18 0.002708 0.003662 0.005080 0.007491 0.011860 0.020431 0.042379
2026-01-25 0.002485 0.003413 0.004828 0.007314 0.012029 0.021917 0.050243
2026-02-01 0.002265 0.003147 0.004517 0.006984 0.011831 0.022549 0.056271
2026-02-08 0.002075 0.002911 0.004229 0.006652 0.011558 0.022925 0.061913
2026-02-15 0.001984 0.002822 0.004173 0.006732 0.012154 0.025643 0.078902
2026-02-22 0.001866 0.002680 0.004013 0.006593 0.012242 0.027076 0.092661
2026-03-01 0.001753 0.002538 0.003839 0.006406 0.012184 0.028087 0.106145
2026-03-08 0.001657 0.002424 0.003718 0.006331 0.012443 0.030400 0.133364
2026-03-15 0.001608 0.002385 0.003727 0.006530 0.013443 0.035799 0.200839
2026-03-22 0.001576 0.002372 0.003780 0.006827 0.014801 0.043628 0.343022
2026-03-29 0.001519 0.002311 0.003738 0.006911 0.015600 0.050011 0.547160
2026-04-05 0.001451 0.002226 0.003640 0.006851 0.015965 0.054831 0.824565
2026-04-12 0.001397 0.002162 0.003578 0.006867 0.016575 0.061663 1.441570
2026-04-19 0.001330 0.002069 0.003452 0.006709 0.016583 0.065231 2.211152
2026-04-26 0.001254 0.001957 0.003279 0.006417 0.016066 0.065198 2.805493
2026-05-03 0.001183 0.001851 0.003111 0.006121 0.015482 0.064409 3.420431
2026-05-10 0.001153 0.001818 0.003089 0.006193 0.016229 0.073857 10.430489
2026-05-17 0.001106 0.001752 0.002996 0.006069 0.016229 0.077892 25.973250